empty
01.04.2025 10:47 AM
EUR/USD Forecast for April 1, 2025

Panic in the stock market is beginning to subside. Yesterday, by the end of the session, the main indices posted gains. The euro declined by 11 points. Notably, by this time, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator had settled at the zero line. Now, the euro is awaiting the final decision from the White House administration regarding the tariffs to be implemented starting tomorrow.

This image is no longer relevant

However, today will bring key data from both the U.S. and the Eurozone in the context of the ongoing tariff wars — the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) figures. Forecasts suggest that the advantage lies with the U.S. economy: Eurozone Manufacturing PMI is expected to rise from 47.6 to 48.7, while the U.S. Manufacturing PMI, though projected to fall from 52.7 to 49.8, will still surpass the European figure. According to the ISM, the U.S. Manufacturing PMI may decrease from 50.3 to 49.6, which is also better than the European result.

But here lies the usual trap of market psychology combined with algorithmic trading — if U.S. indicators are declining, then the logic becomes to buy the euro. And the growth of the S&P 500 (after a 10.7% correction), as we previously mentioned, could serve as a catalyst. While we do not doubt that the euro will experience a significant decline once all short-term events settle, for now, the upward movement continues. The nearest target is 1.0955, followed by 1.1027.

This image is no longer relevant

On the four-hour chart, the price is preparing to break through the MACD line near 1.0840. Marlin is already poised for growth — we just need to see the release of the PMI data.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD. April 4th. The Trade Conflict Is Only Gaining Momentum

On Thursday, the EUR/USD pair continued its upward movement. At the moment, the decline in the U.S. dollar has paused, but the market could "explode" again at any moment

Samir Klishi 10:32 2025-04-04 UTC+2

GBP/USD. April 4th. What Can the Dollar Count On?

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair once again soared on Thursday, breaking through several levels. Consolidation below the 1.3151 level allows for expectations of a slight decline toward

Samir Klishi 10:21 2025-04-04 UTC+2

EUR/USD and GBP/USD April 4 – Technical Analysis

After several attempts and three weeks of consolidation, the bulls finally launched a breakout, allowing them to close yesterday well above the resistance levels of the Ichimoku Cloud

Evangelos Poulakis 09:38 2025-04-04 UTC+2

EUR/USD Forecast for April 4, 2025

On Thursday, investors flight from risk, and the dollar reached its peak: the S&P 500 dropped by 4.84%, the dollar index by 1.64%, oil by 6.90%, gold by 1.00%, copper

Laurie Bailey 05:34 2025-04-04 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for April 4, 2025

By the end of yesterday, the British pound had risen by 92 pips, with a peak gain of 204 pips. The price reached the target range of 1.3184–1.3208 before retreating

Laurie Bailey 05:34 2025-04-04 UTC+2

AUD/USD Forecast for April 4, 2025

The Australian dollar reacted fairly calmly to Trump's tariffs, ending the day within the broad consolidation range of 0.6273–0.6351. However, Friday began with a decisive decline, and at the moment

Laurie Bailey 05:34 2025-04-04 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 3-5, 2025: buy above $3,055 (21 SMA - rebound)

If the gold price returns above the uptrend channel and consolidates above 3,075, the outlook could be bullish, and we could look for buying opportunities with a target at 3,125

Dimitrios Zappas 16:43 2025-04-03 UTC+2

EUR/USD – April 3rd: The Dollar Suffers Another Collapse

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair surged sharply. This movement can hardly be called a mere rise. When it comes to the U.S. dollar, it was another collapse—one of many seen

Samir Klishi 11:25 2025-04-03 UTC+2

GBP/USD – April 3rd: A Pointless End of the Week for the Dollar

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair once again surged upward, breaking through a slew of levels and resistance zones. At this point, the British pound has risen

Samir Klishi 10:51 2025-04-03 UTC+2

Forex forecast 03/04/2025: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, SP500, Gold and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful

Sebastian Seliga 09:57 2025-04-03 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.