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05.12.2024 07:37 AM
2024年12月5日歐元/美元熱點預測

歐元區生產者價格的下降速度從-3.4%放緩至-3.2%,這與預期的加速至-3.5%相反。這表明歐洲的通脹雖然可能下降,但速度可能會比預期更慢。因此,歐洲央行很可能很快就會結束其降息周期。

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此外,美國的就業人數僅增加了146,000人,顯著低於180,000人的預測,這不足以維持勞動市場的穩定。

所有這些數據都指向歐元的增長。然而,市場依然停滯不前,主要原因是美國勞工部的報告將在明日公佈,投資者似乎不願意過早冒險。其次,歐元受到了法國政治危機的壓力。昨日,法國国民议会通過了對政府的不信任投票,現在需要時間來組成新政府。

即使歐元區零售銷售數據公佈後,市場今天可能仍會繼續停滯。這些數據預期顯示增長從2.9%放緩至2.5%。如果昨日的數據未能影響市場,那麼單單依靠零售銷售報告可能也不足以改變市場走勢。顯然,市場仍然重點關注明日的美國勞工部報告。

Dean Leo,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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